by Steve Salmony Ph.D.
Even after more than ten years of
trying to raise awareness about certain
overlooked research, my focus remains riveted on the skyrocketing growth
of
absolute global human population and scientific evidence from Hopfenberg
and
Pimentel that the size of the human population on Earth is a function of
food
availability. More food for human consumption equals more people; less
food for
human existence equals less people; and no food, no people. This is to
say, the
population dynamics of the human species is essentially common to, not
different
from, the population dynamics of other living things.
UN Secretary-General Mr. Kofi Annan noted in 1997, “The world has enough food. What it lacks is the political will to ensure that all people have access to this bounty, that all people enjoy food security.”
Please examine the probability that humans are producing too much, not too little food; that the global predicament humanity faces is the way increasing the global food supply leads to increasing absolute global human population numbers. It is the super-abundance of unsustainable agribusiness harvests that are driving population numbers of the human species to overshoot, or explode beyond, the natural limitations imposed by a relatively small, evidently finite, noticeably damaged planet with the size, composition and ecology of Earth.
The spectacular success of the Green Revolution over the past 40 years has “produced” an unintended and completely unanticipated global challenge, I suppose: the rapidly increasing supply of food for human consumption has given birth to a human population bomb, which is exploding worldwide before our eyes. The most formidable threat to future human well being and environmental health appears to be caused by the unbridled, corporate overproduction of food on the one hand and the abject failure of the leaders of the human community to insist upon more fair and equitable redistribution of the world’s food supply so that “all people enjoy food security”.
We need to share (not overconsume and hoard) as well as to build sustainable, human-scale farming practices (not corporate leviathans), I believe.
For a moment let us reflect upon words from the speech that Norman Bourlaug delivered in 1970 on the occasion of winning the Nobel Prize. He reported, ” Man also has acquired the means to reduce the rate of human reproduction effectively and humanely. He is using his powers for increasing the rate and amount of food production. But he is not yet using adequately his potential for decreasing the rate of human reproduction. The result is that the rate of population increase exceeds the rate of increase in food production in some areas.”
UN Secretary-General Mr. Kofi Annan noted in 1997, “The world has enough food. What it lacks is the political will to ensure that all people have access to this bounty, that all people enjoy food security.”
Please examine the probability that humans are producing too much, not too little food; that the global predicament humanity faces is the way increasing the global food supply leads to increasing absolute global human population numbers. It is the super-abundance of unsustainable agribusiness harvests that are driving population numbers of the human species to overshoot, or explode beyond, the natural limitations imposed by a relatively small, evidently finite, noticeably damaged planet with the size, composition and ecology of Earth.
The spectacular success of the Green Revolution over the past 40 years has “produced” an unintended and completely unanticipated global challenge, I suppose: the rapidly increasing supply of food for human consumption has given birth to a human population bomb, which is exploding worldwide before our eyes. The most formidable threat to future human well being and environmental health appears to be caused by the unbridled, corporate overproduction of food on the one hand and the abject failure of the leaders of the human community to insist upon more fair and equitable redistribution of the world’s food supply so that “all people enjoy food security”.
We need to share (not overconsume and hoard) as well as to build sustainable, human-scale farming practices (not corporate leviathans), I believe.
For a moment let us reflect upon words from the speech that Norman Bourlaug delivered in 1970 on the occasion of winning the Nobel Prize. He reported, ” Man also has acquired the means to reduce the rate of human reproduction effectively and humanely. He is using his powers for increasing the rate and amount of food production. But he is not yet using adequately his potential for decreasing the rate of human reproduction. The result is that the rate of population increase exceeds the rate of increase in food production in some areas.”
Plainly, Norman Bourlaug states that humanity has the means to
decrease the
rate of human reproduction, but is choosing not to adequately employ
this
capability to sensibly limit human population numbers. He also notes
that the
rate of human population growth surpasses the rate of increase in food
production IN SOME AREAS {my caps}. Dr. Bourlaug is specifically not
saying the
growth of global human population numbers exceeds global production of
food.
According to recent research, population numbers of the human
species could
be a function of the global growth of the food supply for human
consumption.
This would mean that the global food supply is the independent variable
and
absolute global human population numbers is the dependent variable; that
human
population dynamics is most similar to the population dynamics of other
species. Perhaps the human species is not being threatened in our time
by a
lack of food. To the contrary, humanity and life as we know it could be
inadvertently put at risk by the determination to continue the dramatic,
large-scale overproduction of food, such as we have seen occur in the
past 40
years.
Recall Dr. Bourlaug’s prize winning accomplishment. It gave rise to the “Green Revolution” and to the extraordinary increases in the world’s supply of food. Please consider that the sensational increases in humanity’s food supply occasioned by Dr. Bourlaug’s great work gave rise to an unintended and completely unanticipated effect: the recent skyrocketing growth of absolute global human population numbers.
Recall Dr. Bourlaug’s prize winning accomplishment. It gave rise to the “Green Revolution” and to the extraordinary increases in the world’s supply of food. Please consider that the sensational increases in humanity’s food supply occasioned by Dr. Bourlaug’s great work gave rise to an unintended and completely unanticipated effect: the recent skyrocketing growth of absolute global human population numbers.
We have to examine what appear to be potentially disastrous effects
of
increasing large-scale food production capabilities (as opposed to
small-scale
farming practices) on human population numbers worldwide between now and
2050. If we keep doing the “big-business as usual” things we are doing
now by
maximally increasing the world’s food supply, and the human community
keeps
getting what we are getting now, then a colossal ecological wreckage of
some
unimaginable sort could be expected to occur in the fairly near future.
It may be neither necessary nor sustainable to continue increasing food production to feed a growing population. As an alternative, we could carefully review ways for limiting increases in the large-scale corporate production of food; for providing broad support of small-scale farming practices; for redistributing more equitably the present overly abundant world supply of food among the members of the human community; and for immediately, universally and safely following Dr. Bourlaug’s recommendation to “reduce the rate of human reproduction effectively and humanely.”
It may be neither necessary nor sustainable to continue increasing food production to feed a growing population. As an alternative, we could carefully review ways for limiting increases in the large-scale corporate production of food; for providing broad support of small-scale farming practices; for redistributing more equitably the present overly abundant world supply of food among the members of the human community; and for immediately, universally and safely following Dr. Bourlaug’s recommendation to “reduce the rate of human reproduction effectively and humanely.”
Steve Salmony is a self-proclaimed global citizen, a psychologist and father of three grown children. Married 38 years ago. In 2001 Steve founded the AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population to raise consciousness of the colossal threat that the unbridled, near exponential growth of absolute global human population numbers poses for all great and small living things on Earth in our time. His quixotic campaign focuses upon the best available science of human population dynamics in order to save the planet as a place fit for habitation by children everywhere.
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Comments (12)

Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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Time to speak out clearly, loudly and often It does seem to me that an unwillingness to acknowledge real problems threatening human wellbeing and environmental health in our time makes it impossible for those problems to be reasonably addressed and sensibly overcome. By failing to accept and confront real global challenges, we will be refusing to put science and the intelligence we possess in the service of humanity, the future of life as we know it, and the preservation of Earth as a fit place for human habitation. If human population dynamics is not understood and the human overpopulation of Earth is not addressed, nothing else we do will make a difference that makes a difference for the future of children everywhere. Overpopulation is the proverbial "mother" of all human-driven global challenges looming so ominously before humanity in our time. |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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Planet Earth has a problem..... A primary cause of the recent precipitous rise in carbon dioxide emissions and other human-driven global challenges is the skyrocketing growth of absolute global human population numbers. Just for a moment please consider that the global increase in industrial production of food could have unanticipated and deleterious consequences for life as we know it in the planetary home God has blessed us to inhabit. What we can readily observe is the sensational growth in the large-scale production of food secondary to a temporary, human-induced increase in the primary productivity of Earth. At first sight the astounding increase in food productivity for human consumption looks like a good thing. But upon further analysis a forbidding, unanticipated ecological predicament appears to be occurring. If human population dynamics is essentially common to, not different from, the population dynamics of other species and the planet on which we live has the well-established size, make-up and environs of Earth, then increases in the food supply negatively affects other species in Earth's ecosystems. The artificially stimulated growth of absolute global human population numbers resulting from the unrestricted increase in the human food supply could have reached a point in human history when "human mass" decreases the resource values in the oceans, lakes and rivers; depletes the always finite and occasionally rare resources held by the land mass of the planet; and increases CO2 emissions, other air pollutants, and solid wastes derived from the production of material artifacts. The synergistically occurring effects of global overproduction, overconsumption and overpopulation activities of the human species are also a primary cause of decreased biodiversity....the "sixth major extinction event" of life on Earth but, it appears, the first species-driven extinction event. Because many too many human organisms result in decreased biomass and shifts in the composition of remaining biodiversity, there is a case to be made for limiting increases in the dramatic growth of the human food supply such as has been produced in spectacular quantities by industrial agriculture during the past fifty years. From this perspective, the current gigantic scale and growth rate of human population numbers poses a problem for humanity. Reducing increases in the growth of the human food supply and increasing equitable redistribution of bountiful harvests could be made key considerations of future policymaking. Perhaps these options, when taken in conjunction with the establishment of universal health education and voluntary family planning programs, can be examined as elements of a worldwide program of action that moves humankind toward a sustainable future on a planet fit for human habitation. Humanity has a food distribution problem not a food production problem. If we exercise the political will to equitably feed people by providing basic sustenance, there is food sufficient in the human food supply to meet human needs. People with too much will have to share with those who have too little to eat. As Mohandas Gandhi reminded all of us: There is plenty of food for the needy if others are not greedy. One of the stiffest resistances to sharing our bountiful harvests (in Gandhi's time and now) is human selfishness. Somehow greed has to be eschewed rather than regarded as virtuous behavior and subsequently legitimized, institutionalized and legalized. As I see things, there is no easy way to transition from the unsustainable 'trajectory' of human civilization as we know it today to another way of being and living in the world that could sensibly be described as sustainable. Blind, unconscionable, indefensible, wanton greed rules the world in this moment in human history; but I dare say, not much longer. The current sensational scale and conspicuous growth rate both of per-capita overconsumption and spectacular individual hoarding of resources are patently unsustainable on a finite and frangible planet with size, composition and ecology of Earth. |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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Silence is vanquishing SCIENCE... These times are especially difficult because silence is vanquishing science. Extant science of human population dynamics and the human overpopulation of Earth is everywhere eschewed. People who speak out in public discourse about these topics are ridiculed and isolated. Being rejected by willfully colluding deniers of what could somehow be real would not be a such a problem if the human-induced global challenges already visible in the offing were not so formidable and so likely to threaten human wellbeing and environmental health in the fairly near future. Whatsoever the odds, and no matter how daunting are the human-driven challenges which loom ominously before the family of humanity on the far horizon, each one of us has undeniable responsibilities to assume and solemn duties to perform as best we can with the steadfast hope of making the world we inhabit a better place for the children to live in. To do otherwise, much less choose to do nothing but more of the same old unsustainable things we are so selfishly, arrogantly and wrong-headedly doing now, is anathema to me. Perhaps necessary changes toward sustainable lifestyles and eco-friendly business enterprises are nearly at hand. Steven Earl Salmony AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population, established 2001 http://sustainabilityscience.org/content.html?contentid=1176 http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/index.php http://www.panearth.org/ |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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Complexity and simplicity....... The lack of response to repeated efforts to communicate a perspective concerning something vital about the complex world we inhabit appears similar to the silence with which scientific evidence of human population dynamics has been met during the last "lost" decade of denial. The growth of the human species worldwide could be the proverbial mother of all human-induced global challenges. If that is so, then failing to courageously acknowledge and humanely address this predominant challenge will render efforts of humanity to overcome other human-driven, increasingly complex challenges to human wellbeing and environmental health ultimately irrelevant, I suppose. Please consider that both those who believe human population numbers are exploding and those who believe human numbers are collapsing are correct. Globally, human numbers are undoubtedly increasing, but in some places on the surface of Earth human numbers can easily be seen decreasing. It depends upon your scope of observation. I am perceiving and thinking globally when I report human numbers are skyrocketing. In a similar manner, I can certainly recognize that human numbers in many places (eg, Japan or Italy) have been declining. But in order to make that report it is necessary for me to change my scope of observation. Imagine that a change in one's scope of observation is like the difference between looking at the forest or the trees. Looking at the forest is like looking at absolute global human population numbers; whereas, looking at the trees is like looking at the population numbers in a place like Japan. Global human numbers can be increasing, while the human population numbers in Japan are decreasing. Or imagine that we are looking at a wave, watching it move toward the shore where it crashes at our feet. As the wave we are observing moves toward us, there are many molecules in the wave that are moving in the opposite direction.......against the tide. Population numbers in Japan, Italy and many other places are moving against rapidly rising tide of absolute global human population numbers. Population numbers are simultaneously rising globally and falling locally. So much of life and nature is indeed complex. Even so, we must not allow the acknowledged complexity of some things like the global economy to mystify, mesmerize or blind us to something comparatively simple and as evident as human population dynamics. If implications of the skyrocketing growth of absolute global human population numbers were not so profoundly and potentially threatening to the future of life as we know it and the integrity of Earth, there would be no reason for scientists with appropriate expertise to assume their responsibilities and perform their duties by rigorously scrutinizing the peer-reviewed and published research of human population dynamics and the human overpopulation of Earth. A fidelity to science and humanity, I suppose, demands that the scientific evidence be examined carefully and reported objectively. Perhaps we can speak openly with regard to the complexity in the global economy of the humankind and to the relative simplicity of the population dynamics of the human species. |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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Every day is a crossroads these days, I suppose. “We stand now where two roads diverge…... The road we have long been traveling is deceptively easy, a smooth superhighway on which we progress with great speed, but at its end lies disaster. The other fork of the road-the one “less traveled by”-offers our last, our only chance to reach a destination that assures the preservation of the earth.” -Rachel Carson Even though I am one who has come late to that fateful crossroads where two roads to the future diverge, perhaps it is not yet too late to make a difference that makes a difference by choosing the path to sustainability now. -Steve Salmony |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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Unchallenged science of human population dynamics...... One day, I trust population dynamics experts will take direct action by discussing extant scientific evidence of human population dynamics and the human overpopulation of Earth, despite conspicuous resistance to discussions of this kind. For a moment imagine that human overpopulation of a living Earth is like a live human organism with lung cancer. Please note that although it is exceedingly difficult to talk about "the big C", it is much more demanding to speak out about the cause of the lung cancer: smoking tobacco products. Similarly, despite the challenges we have to speaking out loudly and clearly about the skyrocketing increase of absolute global human population numbers during my lifetime, it is much more difficult say anything about what might be causing global human population growth. Of course that brings us to human population dynamics. Perhaps this is the last of the last taboos. The denial of the science of human population dynamics appears to me as one of the most colossal failures of nerve in human history. The abandonment of intellectual honesty, moral courage responsible action is unconscionable. Could what is culturally prescribed, socially correct, economically expedient and politically convenient be buttressing our propensity to make so great a mistake? Human population dynamics will become a topic of open discussion soon, that is certain. Global gag rules will be eschewed rather than promulgated. When that time comes, I trust it is not too late to make a difference in the lives of our children, who are probably going to be unimaginably victimized not only by the arrogance, folly and greed of their elders but also by their cowardice. Lester Brown reminds us now that "civilization's foundation is eroding". He and we pay careful attention to the distinctly human-driven symptoms of what ails us and report them everywhere; but when will we examine the possible causes of the ailment itself and report findings of what appears to be a non-recursive biological problem? If the human overpopulation of Earth is the problem, when is extant scientific evidence of human population dynamics to become the object of rigorous scrutiny, careful analysis and professional reports? Many too many experts possess scientific knowledge of human population dynamics and human overpopulation of the Earth, I believe. They have remained electively mute. They know and could do better; they have both the tools and the empirical evidence at their fingertips; they are abdicating their responsibility in raising awareness of the those that still do not yet see and understand the human-induced aspects of the global predicament looming before humanity. Many experts have had a multitude of opportunities to comment on human population dynamics and the human overpopulation of Earth in professional conferences like those sponsored every four years by the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population and in an array of speciality journals dedicated to human ecology, population biology, human demography, etc. The experts have uniformly refused. Their abject failure to respond more ably to the challenges presented to humanity in our time is woefully inadequate and inexcusable. It would be unfortunate if the silence of so many was ever construed as giving consent to this ignominous behavior. Let us look for a moment at the human population dynamics research by Hopfenberg and Pimentel on human population numbers as a function of food supply. The evidence in their article, Human Population Numbers as a Function of Food Supply, is correlational data. The evidence appears to indicate the presence of a non-recursive biological problem; the independent variable is the food supply and the dependent variable is human population numbers. What could this correlation mean? Well, if we stop and think about it, it would reverse the widely shared, consensually validated and culturally syntonic idea that human beings are increasing the food supply to feed a growing population. According to prevailing thought, human population numbers is the independent variable and food is the dependent variable. Perhaps a correct understanding of this relationship has potentially profound implications for the future of life on Earth. Whether human population numbers is the dependent or independent variable is what matters. The correlational data from Hopfenberg and Pimentel indicates the former. Human population numbers is the dependent variable. Since 2001 I have stated that this evidence from Hopfenberg/Pimentel provides us with the best available scientific evidence of human population dynamics. This evidence directly contradicts data from many sources that indicate human population numbers is the independent variable. Except for the human species, no other species increases the food supply for its consumption. Other species live within the carrying capacity the Earth and its environs provide them for existence. If human beings are actually driving food production, and not the other way around, then we humans are truly exceptional. And if we choose to believe we are exceptional with regard to our population dynamics, then I believe we are no longer speaking of scientific evidence but rather in logically contrived, ideologically forced and culturally biased terms. Will a professional in a field of study with appropriate expertise please point to the peer-reviewed, published research that supports the hypothesis that the population dynamics of human beings is essentially different from, not common to, the population dynamics of other living things? Where is the scientific evidence for such human exceptionalism in the population dynamics of the human species to be found? While much preternatural evidence has been presented as if it was acceptable evidence of human exceptionalism, I can find no adequate science that indicates human population dynamics is different from the population dynamics of other species. Thank you for taking the time to consider this perspective. Sincerely, Steve |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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All of us can see it coming......... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=czvxyDgqxmM Lyrics : David Gray Lyrics : Draw the Line Album : Full Steam Full Steam Lyrics - David Gray All our lives we’ve dreamed about it Just to find that it was never real Coming closer each turn of the wheel Forlorn, adrift on seas of beige In this our Golden Age Even in our darkest hour Never thought that it could get so bad Bullied, suckered, pimped and patronised Every day your tawdry little lives So loose your head And step within The silence deafening Now you saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it You saw it coming And I saw it coming but still Running full steam ahead In and out of consciousness It breaks my heart to see you like this Crying, wringing hands and cursing fate Always so little far too late It’s 3am I’m wide awake There’s still one call to make, one call Now you saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it You saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it Running full steam ahead Running full steam ahead Running full steam Gonna cover my eyes, gonna cover my eyes Runnin' full steam, yeah Now you saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it You saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it _end_ Steven Earl Salmony AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population, est. 2001 Chapel Hill, NC http://sustainabilityscience.org/content.html?contentid=1176 http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/ http://www.panearth.org/ |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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All of us can see it coming.... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=czvxyDgqxmM Lyrics : David Gray Lyrics : Draw the Line Album : Full Steam Full Steam Lyrics - David Gray All our lives we’ve dreamed about it Just to find that it was never real Coming closer each turn of the wheel Forlorn, adrift on seas of beige In this our Golden Age Even in our darkest hour Never thought that it could get so bad Bullied, suckered, pimped and patronised Every day your tawdry little lives So loose your head And step within The silence deafening Now you saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it You saw it coming And I saw it coming but still Running full steam ahead In and out of consciousness It breaks my heart to see you like this Crying, wringing hands and cursing fate Always so little far too late It’s 3am I’m wide awake There’s still one call to make, one call Now you saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it You saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it Running full steam ahead Running full steam ahead Running full steam Gonna cover my eyes, gonna cover my eyes Runnin' full steam, yeah Now you saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it You saw it coming And I saw it coming We all saw it coming But we still bought it _end_ Steven Earl Salmony AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population, est. 2001 Chapel Hill, NC http://sustainabilityscience.org/content.html?contentid=1176 http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/ http://www.panearth.org/ |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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We know better and can do better....... All of you really are an inspiration to me. Thank you. As Kit says, the challenge before us is huge. That mere fact, however, does not relieve us of our responsibilities as elders. After all, what we see happening is occurring now here. Even though I am embarrassed by the realization that a challenge so obvious, so evident, so colossal and so very much human-induced has occurred on our watch, there can be no excuse given, no logic contrived, no false promises made, no "primrose path" taken that can forgive our willful blindness, our hysterical deafness, our elective mutism. Our generation has responsibilities to science and duties to humanity that are being left unattended. We are simply shrinking from the tasks at hand by playing the role of Nero, who fiddled while 'his home' burned. To have taken so much from this world, as my generation has done, and to be ready and willing to leave so little to its children, come what may for coming generations, that my friends is beyond the pale. The silence of many too many is pernicious because it is not helpful to anyone except to those self-proclaimed masters of the universe among us whose arrogance, foolhardiness and unbridled greed we, yes we, have allowed to gain control of and come to rule the world in our time. Perhaps necessary change is in the offing. |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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Acknowledging the root cause(s) of the human population explosion on Earth.... Dear Friends, What would think of acknowledging the science of human population dynamics and human overpopulation as a way of beginning to take a new path toward sustainability? If we keep repeating the mistakes made in the past by denying extant and unchallenged science, nothing can happen. Without an acknowledgement of the root cause(s) of what is ailing the human family, how are we to move forward to raise awareness of the global predicament? Once awareness is raised among a critical mass of people, it becomes possible to organize for the purpose of formulating policies and programs of action. The willful denial of science has kept us and continues to keep us from gaining momentum needed to address and overcome the human-driven challenges that currently threaten human wellbeing and environmental health. Sincerely, Steve |
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Steven Earl Salmony
said:
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DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION: FACT OR FICTION? DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION: FACT OR FICTION? Please see below a note from a friend on the widely shared and consensually validated pseudoscience regarding human population dynamics and human overpopulation (in quotation marks), followed by my comment on the scientific finding regarding food supply and human population numbers from the research of two outstanding scientists, Russell Hopfenberg and David Pimentel. "I agree that the Theory of Demographic Transition is just that, a convenient theory that holds out the promise of lower fertility in nations in due time if they just hop on the capitalistic development bandwagon. It's a non-threatening and positive theory and it's potentially good for business for the developed world. All one need do is take a look at population growth statistics, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population_growth_rate (2009 CIA table) and per capita income statistics of countries, http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_gro_nat_inc_percap-gross-national-income-per-capita and one can observe that a relatively wealthy country does not necessarily have a low population growth rate. Examples are US, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Luxembourg, Ireland, New Zealand, Australia, Kuwait, Bahrain and more. It can also be observed that many of the more developed and thus more wealthy and educated countries, mostly in Europe, have below replacement fertility (Italy, Germany, Japan). Many countries with a predominant religion furthering large family size have larger population growth rates like the Arab countries. The following paper http://www.jstor.org/pss/2947709 concludes that "..that indicators of education, health, and family planning program effort have a significant independent effect on fertility" and that "No significant impact can be attributed to indicators of economic development once family planning efforts and social development indicators are held constant." Yet the National Geographic January 2011 issue on "Population - 7 Billion" features the Demographic Transition Theory, though it does briefly admit that fertility in some countries has fallen dramatically without significant economic development. Bangladesh is a major example. As I see it, in the absence of religious or social pressures, most people would prefer smaller families as they can better provide for them. Given the education and means to control their fertility they will readily try to do so. In many developing countries, the ubiquitous radio is the major source of news and entertainment. The presence of only a few radio stations makes this an ideal medium for education and behavioral change. Organizations such as Population Media Center http://www.populationmedia.org/ and Population Communications International http://www.population.org/ have been very effective on a per dollar basis in getting listeners to their culturally-sensitive soap operas educated on family planning advantages and seeking means to help them control their fertility." The food availability-population growth finding from the research of Hopfenberg and Pimentel http://www.panearth.org/ shows us that there is NO demographic transition, NO population stabilization, NO benign end to population growth a mere four decades from now. That is the problem with the theory, which is preternatural not scientific and descriptive not predictive. Scientific evidence directly contradicts the demographic transition theory and indicates that human population dynamics could be essentially similar to the population dynamics of other species. More food equals more human organisms; less food equals less human organisms; and no food equals no humans. Skyrocketing absolute global human population numbers in the past 65 years provide bold and unmistakeable evidence of this fact. I fear that when the explosive growth of the food supply for human consumption we have witnessed during my lifetime can no longer be sustained by a planet with the size, composition and ecology of Earth, and comes to an end much sooner than any one of us would want, I believe this relationship between food and population numbers will become much easier for the people to see. And at that future moment in space-time people are not, definitely not going to like what they are seeing, I suppose. I also believe that at that time those with responsibilities to assume and duties to perform will look back in anger and utter disbelief at what those in my not-so-great generation have overlooked and denied, for a variety of self-serving excuses. |
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Steven Earl Salmony
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The hungry must be fed now because we can and we care.... How on Earth are we going to adequately feed the hungry and starving, and simultaneously not keep 'feeding the problem' of human overpopulation? http://english.aljazeera.net/programmes/frostovertheworld/2011/02/2011259341259393.html How is it possible for so many top rank experts of great stature to be adamantly advocating for more "food production to feed a growing population" and yet be failing to mention the profound implications of skyrocketing absolute global population numbers on Earth? For such a thing to be occurring in 2011 appears preposterous. It is morally outrageous and dangerous both to future human well being and environmental health, I believe, for well established experts to be reporting ubiquitously in high-level discussions such things as are directly contradicted by unchallenged scientific research of human population dynamics and human overpopulation. Is it possible that so-called, self-proclaimed experts are not aware of peer-reviewed, published research in their area of expertise that indicates the food supply is the independent (not dependent) variable and human population numbers is the dependent (not independent) variable with regard to the relationship between human population numbers and food supply? It appears that many too many experts are collectively reporting specious theory and data regarding the human population that cannot be supported by the best available scientific evidence, I believe. The food supply is the independent variable not the dependent variable. Human population numbers is the dependent variable not the independent variable. The believers in demographic transition theory and in the idea that "we must increase food production to feed a growing population" are simply mistaken. The false promise of Demographic Transition Theory, that population stabilization will somehow occur benignly and automatically a mere four decades from now, as well as the upside down thinking that human population numbers is the independent variable and food supply is the dependent variable, are at least two of the crucial and deliberate misunderstandings that are being deployed to direct the human community down a patently unsustainable "primrose path" no human being with feet of clay would ever choose to go. The uncontested scientific finding of the relationship between food supply and human population numbers is being obscured and denied by the very experts upon whom the human community relies for guidance and direction. Conscious obsfucation and willful denial by 'the brightest and best' of the scientific finding regarding the relationship between food supply and human population numbers has been occurring pervasively for way too long a time. This incredible failure of nerve by 'the smartest guys in the room' in my not-so-great generation has got to be acknowledged, addressed and overcome. The children's future is being stolen by thieves of the highest order. And what is the communal response? A code of silence! Are people going to choose yet again to be bystanders at a moment when bold action, intellectual honesty and moral courage are required? Willful blindness, hysterical deafness, elective mutism and utter passivity cannot continue. The children will soon enough express their anger and disbelief at what the elders in my not-so-great generation have either failed to do or else done poorly "on our watch", while wealthy and powerful crooks in high places robbed those among us who are still young of a good enough future. How on Earth are we going to adequately feed the hungry and starving, and simultaneously not keep 'feeding the problem' of human overpopulation? This is the question no one is asking, the one that needs to be asked. Please speak out loudly and clearly.... Steven Earl Salmony AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population, established 2001 http://sustainabilityscience.org/content.html?contentid=1176 http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/ http://www.panearth.org/ |
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