On the day that the President assuaged and the Federal
Reserve chairman testified, General Motors announced it would freeze
job hirings in several areas, lay off salaried workers, suspend
shareholder dividends, and borrow up to $3 billion. Six weeks earlier,
GM announced it was closing four plants; on the day the President
spoke, GM announced four more plant closings. The nation’s largest
corporation, which saw a 16 percent sales decline in the first half of
the year, announced that it was giving retired workers a slight pension
increase but was cutting health care benefits.
About 8.5
million Americans actively seeking work are unemployed, an increase of
about 21.4 percent over one year ago, according to the Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS). The unemployment rate of 5.5 percent is up from 4.6
percent a year ago. More important, about 1.5 million of the 8.5
million unemployed have been unemployed at least six months, a 37
percent increase over the past year, according to the BLS. Not included
in the numbers are the “1.6 million people who are ‘marginally
attached’ to the workforce, who had looked for work in the previous 12
months, but not in the last month,” according to Andre Damon of Global
Research. Damon also reports that the BLS data does not include about
420,000 “‘discouraged workers’, who had given up looking for work
because they think that there is no work available.”
Work
is
available in dozens of other countries, where American companies
seeking to “maximize the bottom line” have been outsourcing jobs for
years. About 14 million American jobs are going to be outsourced in the
next four years, according to a report issued by the
University of California at Berkeley. Short-sighted
and greedy, these CEOs and their boards believe child labor and wages
that can dip below $1 an hour is just another acceptable business
practice. The “Made in America” label is now becoming as extinct as
corporate morality.
Americans who have been using credit
cards to survive the Recession and have now reached their credit limit
can raise their limit or sometimes reduce their payments or rate. All
they have to do is call a credit card agency’s toll-free number, which
is answered by someone at a call center in India. Those same call
centers are also telemarketing Americans to get into even more debt by
getting credit cards.
In a true “global economy,” as many
now euphemistically refer to outsourcing, persons having trouble with
their computers assembled from parts made in Mexico and several Asian
countries can now call technicians in India for assistance.
Book and magazine publishers have been outsourcing art, design,
editing, and printing overseas. Even newspapers have figured out how to
cut even more costs while driving up profits. The
Orange County (Calif.)
Register, which laid off 90 persons in 2007, outsourced copyediting and page design to journalists in India. The
Modesto (Calif.) Bee and Sacramento Bee have outsourced most of their advertising design departments to India.
For Americans who have jobs, getting to them is more expensive. It
makes no difference if the worker drives or takes public
transportation, the rising cost of oil has pushed Americans into a
crisis. Gas prices rose more than 25 percent in the past year, to more
than $4 by July 1; diesel prices are up more than 30 percent to more
than $5. The higher fuel costs affect almost every service and industry
from home heating to food production and road repair.
Flushed with an inflated housing boom, banks and mortgage companies had
begun issuing mortgages, usually with excessive fees and high interest
rates, to just about anyone with a pulse. The weaker the credit rating,
the higher the fees and interest. Even if the economy was healthy,
there would have been several hundred thousand defaults. By the end of
2007, about 2.5 million mortgages were in default, almost 40 percent
higher than one year earlier. Attached to the problem is that many new
homeowners bought houses at inflated prices, assured by lending
companies that housing prices would continue to rise, are making
monthly payments that put them at financial risk, and are now watching
the value of their houses decline.
Foreclosures and the
Recession have driven down housing prices throughout the country. In 20
major American cities, house prices declined about 15 percent,
according to the Case-Shiller index of housing prices. Prices declined
by 25 percent in Las Vegas, Miami, and Phoenix, according to
Case-Shiller. In California, the median price of houses declined by 35
percent over last year, according to the California Association of
Realtors.
Monday morning, the day before the President’s
speech, hundreds of Americans stood in line at the 33 Southern
California branches of IndyMac Bank, now renamed Indymac Federal Bank,
to withdraw what they hoped was all of their money. Over 11 days,
customers had withdrawn about $1.3 billion, amid rumors that the bank
was failing. The previous Friday, federal regulators seized the bank,
once one of the nation’s largest mortgage lenders. Last year, the bank
lost $615 million; the books bled red another $184 million the first
three months of this year. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.(FDIC)
guarantees each individual account to $100,000, joint accounts to
$200,000, and retirement accounts to $250,000. Those with less knew
they would get all of their money. For those with more, some were just
hoping to recover 50 cents on the dollar. The cost to the FDIC is
expected to be $4–8 billion. IndyMac was the fifth bank to fail in the
previous six months.
Also failing were the
Federal National Mortgage Association (better known as Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (better known as Freddie
Mac). The quasi-governmental agencies either own the loans or guarantee
loans for almost half of the nation’s $11 trillion in mortgages. But,
with more homeowners buying houses they couldn’t afford and now being
subjected to rising costs in almost every area, combined with higher
unemployment, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac faced collapse, their
stock value freefalling about 90 percent in the past year. To keep the
two agencies from failing, which would undoubtedly throw the nation
into a deeper Recession that could dive into a Depression, the Federal
Reserve announced it would issue low-cost loans of up to $15 billion.
While 15 billion taxpayer dollars may seem significant, it is only
about 9 percent of the $168 billion Congress appropriated for the war
this year. President Bush, Vice-President Cheney, and their advisors
were vigorous in demanding the U.S. go to war in Iraq and vigorous in
demanding massive funding for that war, which may now cost more than $1
trillion.
President Bush did acknowledge that the economy
wasn’t “as good as we’d like, and to the extent that we’ll find
weaknesses, we’ll move.” As domestic problems piled up the past few
years, much caused by a diversion of the budget and assets to Iraq, it
seemed that the Bush–Cheney Administration moved on domestic policies
at the speed of a glacier.
Not receiving much help are the
47 million Americans who don’t have medical insurance, mostly because
they can’t afford the premiums, and the 3.5 million homeless, most of
whom once had homes and jobs but are now living in their cars or
makeshift shelters. About one-fourth of the homeless are veterans;
slightly more than one-third of the homeless are children.
In 1992, Bill Clinton and Al Gore campaigned against President George
H.W. Bush on the slogan, “It’s the economy, Stupid.” The politics of
that election came down to asking Americans if they were better off
under that President Bush after four years than they were when his
presidency began. Four presidential terms later, after eight years of a
rising economy under President Clinton, it’s the economy—not the war,
the attack upon civil liberties, the destruction of the environment, or
any of a few dozen other destructive policies—that may be what finally
scuttles this Bush’s legacy.
Dr. Brasch, an award-winning
syndicated columnist, is professor of journalism at Bloomsburg
University and president of the Pennsylvania Press Club. His latest
book is Sinking the Ship of State: The Presidency of George W. Bush (November 2007), available through amazon.com and other bookstores. You may contact Brasch at brasch@bloomu.edu or through his website at: www.walterbrasch.com.