These experiences of revolutionary governments calling on
their radical co-thinkers to collaborate with non-revolutionary regimes
and to submit to their political constraints have generally had
disastrous consequences: The Kuo Ming Tang of Chiang Kai Shek turned on
the Communist Party and massacred the majority of its workers and drove
it into the mountains of the interior. The aboveground, legal
Indonesian Communists and their supporters and family members suffered
anywhere from 500,000 to 1 million deaths when Sukarno was overthrown
in a CIA coup. The South Vietnamese communists who attempted to
participate in electoral politics were assassinated or jailed and
eventually, their survivors were forced to revert to underground
guerrilla struggle.
The reformist electoral regimes which came to power in Latin America
have rescued capitalism from the crises of the 1990’s, demobilized the
Left and opened the door for the resurgence of the hard right
throughout most of the continent.
In the case of Colombia, Venezuela’s President Chavez apparently chose
to ignore the FARC’s earlier experience in attempting to shift from
armed struggle to electoral politics. Between 1984-89 thousands of FARC
guerrillas disarmed and embraced the electoral struggle. They ran
candidates, elected congressmen and women and were decimated by the
death squads of the Colombian military, paramilitary and private armies
of the oligarchy. Over 5,000 militants and leaders were murdered. What
is especially striking is that Chavez urgings to join the electoral
process takes place under Colombia’s bloodiest and most brutal violator
of human rights in recent history.
Why then do radical leaders who themselves led armed struggles, once in
office, call on their revolutionary counterparts to abandon guerrilla
warfare and engage in electoral processes which have such dubious
prospects?
Several kinds of explanations have been put forth at different times to explain what appears to be a political ‘U-turn’.
The Moral Explanation
Some critics of the ‘U-turn’ explain
the shift to a ‘moral degeneration’ – the leaders become autocratic,
bureaucratic and seek only to consolidate their rule in their own
country. This is the common position adopted by the Left Opposition to
Stalin’s policies with regard to Russian policy toward the Chinese
revolution. Defenders of the ‘U-turn’ in China claimed it resulted from
a recognition of ‘changing times’ and ‘objective opportunities’ on a
world scale, arguing that the emergence of the ‘world-wide
anti-colonial revolution in the aftermath of World War II created a
symmetry of purpose between nationalists and communists, which would
evolve over time to a non-capitalist state.
That these alliances were fragile, led to regime breakdown and to the
emergence of right-wing ‘strong men’ regimes suggests that this line of
argument was itself of limited duration. There were and still are
numerous variations on these explanation for the political ‘U-turns’
but any structural-historical explanation must come to terms with the
difference between a revolutionary movement in the process of coming to
power and a revolutionary leadership holding state power.
.
In the latter case, the revolutionary state must deal with a generally
hostile environment, military pressures and interventions, economic
boycotts and diplomatic isolation from imperial states and their
clients. In this context the revolutionary or radical regime has a
continuum of policy choices to enhance its international position,
ranging from outright support of overseas radical or opposition
movements to attempts to demonstrate moderation, conciliation and
accommodation to imperial concerns. Several factors influence the
foreign policies of the revolutionary regime. They are likely to pursue
a revolutionary policy if:
- Revolutionary movements are on the upswing and show promise
of early success, in either toppling pro-imperial clients or putting in
place a progressive or sympathetic government.
- The
revolutionary regime has recently come to power and confronts an
imminent military threat to its consolidation, facing an all or nothing
situation.
- The revolutionary regime faces a solid bloc of
intransigent opposition led by imperial powers, which show no
willingness to negotiate a modus vivendi and are not eager to make any
compromises.
In contrast, revolutionary regimes are more likely to downplay or renounce links to revolutionary movements overseas if:
- There are definite opportunities to pursue diplomatic
relations, market, trade and investment agreements with capitalist
regimes;
- The radical movements are on a downslide, losing
support or being eclipsed by electoral parties, which promise
recognition and improved relations.
- Internal socio-economic
changes within the revolutionary regime evolve toward an accommodation
with emerging local or foreign private investors whose future growth is
dependent on associating with overseas business elites and dissociation
from radical anti-capitalist forces.
In practice, at different time and places, the two polar positions
are combined, according to a series of attenuating circumstances. For
example, the revolutionary regime may pursue an accommodating position
with a large, potentially economically important capitalist regime,
while continuing to support revolutionary movements in a smaller, less
significant capitalist country.
In other cases, the
revolutionary regime may dissociate itself from revolutionary
movements, in order to diversify its markets and trade and, at the same
time, continue to adopt ‘revolutionary rhetoric’ for domestic
consumption and to maintain the allegiance of overseas reformist
movements.
Foreign policy, revolutionary or not, is the prerogative of the
diplomatic corps, which tends to contain many professionals who have no
revolutionary standing and who are holdovers from pre-revolutionary
times. Their understanding of foreign policy is to draw on previous
ties and relations with their counterparts in the capitalist countries
and with the past business elites of their country. Hence, by and
large, they are constantly in a ‘negotiating mode’, immune to the
internal revolutionary dynamics and look to maximize the greatest
number of diplomatic ties and minimize overseas linkages to
revolutionary movements which compromise their day-to-day relations
with their foreign counterparts.
Government and Party : Solidarity and ‘Interests of State’
It is conceivable to envision a situation in which a revolutionary
government pursues a moderate policy of accommodation, while the
revolutionary party or parties/movements supporting the government
expresses solidarity with overseas revolutionary parties and movements.
This presumes that the state and party are mutually supportive but
politically and organizationally independent. This dual approach is
possible if the political party decides its policies through its own
deliberative forums, in consultation with its membership and is not a
‘transmission belt’ of the state and its executive branch.
Unfortunately in the overwhelming number of cases, the party-state tend
to merge, leaders of the party and mass social movements take positions
in the government and the movements lose their autonomy and become
mechanisms to implement state policy. Henceforth the diplomatic
maneuvers of the Foreign Office, override the party/movement’s
principles of revolutionary solidarity, reducing the latter to
inconsequential abstract rhetoric.
While the post-revolutionary state has the responsibility of ensuring
the day-to-day security, employment and provision of necessities to its
people and therefore must find ways of dealing with existing regimes as
they find them, the revolutionary parties and movements have as one of
their prime goals the deepening and extension of the revolutionary
changes embedded in their programs.
In other words, there is an inevitable tension between ‘reasons of
state’ and the ‘revolutionary program’ of the mass movements. With the
consolidation of the post-revolutionary state, the dominant tendency of
the governing class is to stabilize external relations. This involves
two related processes: to limit the revolutionary party to moral
support of their overseas counterparts and to dissociate or disown any
ties to overseas revolutionary movements. International radical and
revolutionary rhetoric remains ritualized for anniversaries of historic
victories, heroic revolutionary personalities, denunciations of
immediate imperial aggressors; while on a day-to-day basis, all sorts
of agreements with capitalist regimes are pursued. To the degree that
capitalist countries reach diplomatic, economic and political
agreements with revolutionary regimes, the latter recasts their new
partners as ‘progressive’, part of a new wave of ‘anti-imperialist’
governments, or as adopting an ‘independent’ position. What is
noteworthy of these new re-definitions of capitalist
diplomatic/economic partners is that they are not based on any internal
structural, class, property changes, nor even any break in relations
with imperial countries. The change in political labeling occurs almost
exclusively as a result of the country’s foreign relations with the
revolutionary regime.
Venezuela: The Paradox of Revolutionary Changes and Conservative Foreign Policy
The Chavez government follows a policy practiced by the great majority
of previous revolutionary or radical leaders faced with hostile
imperial powers – adopting radical socio-economic policies to weaken
internal allies of empire while seeking diplomatic allies externally
among reformist and even conservative capitalist regimes. Chavez has
backed the neo-liberal Lula regime in Brazil (and urged the popular
social movements to do likewise) even as the ex-trade union boss
slashed public employee pensions, imposed an IMF stability pact and
favored agro-mineral exporters over landless rural workers. Likewise
Chavez financially backed the Kirchner regime in Argentina via the
purchase of state bonds even as it refused to challenge the illicit
privatization of the 1990’s, maintained the socio-economic inequalities
of the past, refused to grant legal recognition to the independent
trade union confederation CTA. For Chavez, the key issue was
Argentina’s opposition to US intervention against Venezuela and
opposition to US-promoted integration via ALCA.
Chavez’ foreign policy toward Colombia, the principle US political and
military ally in the region has alternated between ‘reconciliation’ and
‘rejection’ depending on the immediate threats to its sovereignty. The
points of conflict revolve around several Colombian blatant
interventions into Venezuela: In 2006, the Colombian military kidnapped
a Venezuelan citizen of Colombian origin who was a FARC foreign affairs
representative in downtown Caracas. Prior to that the Venezuelan
military captured 130 Colombian armed paramilitary forces in Venezuela
less than 100 kilometers from the capital. Following the kidnapping,
Venezuela briefly suspended economic relations, but they were renewed
shortly after a meeting following an amicable diplomatic meeting
between Colombia’s death squad President Uribe and Chavez. Subsequently
in 2008, when Chavez attempted to broker a prisoner release and open
peace negotiations between the FARC and the Uribe regime, the latter
launched a murderous military attack on the FARC’s lead negotiator
operating out of Ecuador’s frontier. In the face of Uribe’s defense of
his violation of Ecuadorian sovereignty in pursuit of the guerrillas,
Chavez was forced to denounce Uribe and mobilize the Venezuelan armed
forces and to raise the matter before the Organization of American
States. Uribe launched a diplomatic offensive claiming a guerrilla
computer, captured in the raid, contained evidence of Chavez ties to
the FARC. Subsequently Uribe and Chavez negotiated a temporary
settlement on the basis of a half-hearted understanding that Uribe
would refrain from future cross-border military attacks. In this
context of high military threats and diplomatic tensions, Chavez chose
to publicly denounce the FARC, put distance between his government and
the revolutionary left and call for its unilateral disarmament to gain
diplomatic favor from Colombia, Europe and North America. Clearly
Chavez believed that appeasing Uribe would lessen threats to
Venezuela’s borders and lessen the chances that Colombia would grant
the US use of its border territory as a launching base for an invasion.
Chavez’ decision was deeply influence by the military and political
weakening of the FARC over the previous 5 years, the advance of the
Colombian military and the calculation that the effectiveness of the
FARC as a counter-weight to Uribe was in decline. In this context,
Chavez probably considered an immediate diplomatic détente with
US-backed Colombia more important that any past solidarity or future
tactical recovery of the FARC. In general terms, when revolutionary
governments perceive or confront a situation of weakening or defeated
revolutionary movements abroad and increasing political threats by
imperial powers and their satellites, they are more likely to build
diplomatic bridges to centrists or rightist regimes. In order to pursue
diplomatic support, the most likely confidence-building measure is to
sacrifice any identification with the radical left, including public
repudiation of any extra-parliamentary initiatives.
Since the 1990’s economic crises, Cuba has pursued close diplomatic and
economic relations with all Latin American states (including Colombia)
and has opposed all guerrilla movements and refrained from criticizing
center-right regimes, except those which publicly attack Cuba, as
happened with US clients such as ex-President Fox of Mexico and his
former Foreign Minister, George Castaneda, a notorious mouthpiece of
the CIA and Cuban exiles in Miami.
Conclusion
The dilemmas of revolutionary governments revolves
around the problem of managing the state, which involves maximizing
international economic and diplomatic relations to develop the economy
and defending its security in an imperial world order, while living up
to its revolutionary ideology and solidarity with popular movements in
the capitalist world. The risks of solidarity are lessened when new
leftist regimes come to power or popular movements are in the ascent.
The risks are greater when the resurgent right is in ascendancy. The
dilemma is especially acute because the revolutionary state and the
revolutionary party are tightly integrated – and identified as such:
The party is led by the President of the State and there is overlap at
all levels between government office holders and the party and the
latter’s activities reflect the priorities of the government. In the
case where there is no independent space between Party and State,
diplomatic moves, necessary for everyday policy, undermine the
possibility that the Party based in its internal deliberations and
principles could act independently in support of their international
counterparts. In contrast, the existence of an independent
revolutionary party – supportive of the state but with its own internal
life – could resolve the dilemma by making overseas class solidarity
central to its ‘foreign policy’. By rejecting the role of being a
government foreign policy transmission belt, the revolutionary party
would operate parallel to the state, conveying their opposition to
imperialism and internal class enemies but independent in choosing
overseas allies and tactics. Given the different composition of the
foreign affairs bureaucracy and diplomatic corps and the radical mass
base of a revolutionary party, such a separation of state and movements
would reflect the class-political differences inherent between a
diplomatic corps developed under previous reactionary regimes and
accustomed to conventional modes of operation and newly radicalized
popular activists, tested in class struggle and accustomed to
exchanging ideas in international forums with overseas revolutionaries.
The risks of diplomatic dependence on unreliable capitalist allies and
even riskier fragile temporary accommodations need to be balanced with
the gains from solidarity and support from reliable, principled
class-based opposition mass parties and movements engaged in
extra-parliamentary politics.