A young, fresh-faced candidate, with a feisty, savvy wife, takes the political world by storm. He is highly intelligent, remarkably articulate, in sharp and ready command of the issues, with a winning charm and the common touch — in stark contrast to the aging, bumbling, cantankerous dullard he faces in the election. He offers hope and change, a whole new paradigm, a reinvention of politics as usual. He will take on the vested interests, the lobbyists, the tired ideas and rampant corruption of the Establishment. He will build a new international consensus, restoring America's tarnished reputation and its moral leadership after years of covert ops, secret wars, military adventurism, collusion with tryants, deceit and scandal.
Yet he is no knee-jerk liberal, no throwback to the divisive policies of the past. He transcends the rigid categories of left and right. He embraces the sunny optimism of Ronald Reagan, the populism of Franklin Roosevelt, the internationalist principles of Woodrow Wilson, the visionary ideals of Abraham Lincoln.
His candidacy becomes a media sensation. His whiz-bang campaign staff employs new techniques and technologies never seen in presidential campaigns before. He draws huge crowds; big Hollywood names flock to his side, and he himself is frequently compared to a rock star. His election — a narrow but solid win — is greeted by his supporters as a new era, a new dawning for America.
The year, of course, is 1992.
Perhaps many of Barack Obama's supporters are too young to remember, but the heady atmosphere of his transformative, transcendent campaign is, in almost every particular, a replay of what we saw in Bill Clinton's first presidential campaign. Clinton's supporters were just as enthused about the world-altering, Republic-renewing potential that they believed his candidacy represented. They too turned a blind eye to the many aspects of the Clinton campaign that didn't comport with their hopes — or else justified those aspects as things that Clinton had to do or say in order to get elected and then do great liberal things.
Such as executing a mentally retarded man to prove that he was no
ordinary "soft-on-crime" liberal, for example. Many considered this a
hard choice that Clinton had to make in order to get back enough
"Reagan Democrats" to win. Once he was in office, of course, Clinton
did the great liberal thing of expanding the federal death penalty to
an extraordinary degree. And eliminating welfare. And deregulating the
energy market on behalf of Enron. And privatizing military servicing on
behalf of Halliburton. And deliberately targeting civilians and
civilian infrastructure in an undeclared war that precipitated the
ethnic cleansing it was ostensibly designed to prevent, after
sabotaging a peace plan that would have prevented that ethnic cleansing
without war. Things like that.
This is why many of us oldsters are somewhat immune to the enthusiasm
generated by the Obama campaign — because we have been here before, and
seen how the story ends. [Of course, some people support Obama for the
same reason they supported Clinton in 1992: because he was bound to be
at least marginally better than the horrendous goon running against
him. But these grim realists — who are usually less numerous and
certainly more muted than the true believers — are not our subject
here.] Now, it's true that Obama is not Bill Clinton. And it may well
be, as many of his supporters openly hope, that Obama is a liar,
artfully throwing up smoke screens to bamboozle the electorate and the
press in order to gain the power to do great liberal things. I myself
think he is a bit more honest than that, and that we should take
seriously what he actually says and does, and whom he selects as his
top advisors and policy-shapers.
The latter is particularly important in the case of those who, like
Obama, young Clinton, and George W. Bush, come to office with little or
no experience in national government. On whom will they rely as they
learn the ropes? The company they keep reflects the genuine values and
intentions of the candidate. For example, one glance at the cast of
silk-suited thugs and bug-eyed cranks around candidate Bush in
1999-2000 was enough to tell anyone who wanted to know that this
new-style "compassionate conservative" was going to be an old-line,
hard-right servant of the war profiteeriat and the robber baronage.
Likewise, a look at Obama's brain trust gives us a glimpse of how he
will govern, and the values he will actually put into practice. In a new article, Naomi Klein takes a gander at Obama's economic team — and finds a gaggle of geese from the Chicago "Shock Doctrine" School:
Barack
Obama waited just three days after Hillary Clinton pulled out of the
race to declare, on CNBC: "Look. I am a pro-growth, free-market guy. I
love the market." Demonstrating that this is no mere spring fling, he
has appointed the 37-year-old Jason Furman, one of Wal-Mart's most
prominent defenders, to head his economic team. On the campaign trail,
Obama blasted Clinton for sitting on the Wal-Mart board and pledged: "I
won't shop there." For Furman, however, Wal-Mart's critics are the real
threat: the "efforts to get Wal-Mart to raise its wages and benefits"
are creating "collateral damage" that is "way too enormous and damaging
to working people and the economy ... for me to sit by idly and sing
Kum Ba Ya in the interests of progressive harmony".
One might be tempted to say that this appointment and Obama's position
on Wal-Mart could possibily represent a bit of hypocrisy on the part of
the candidate — if, of course, so transcendant a candidate were capable
of such a thing. Also his pledge to "never shop" at Wal-Mart seems
politically dicey, placing him at odds with millions of Americans whose
small-town, home-owned business districts have been wiped out by the
arrival the giant discount centers, leaving locals with nowhere else to
shop. In addition, the economic distress felt by millions of Americans
means that many people simply cannot afford to shop elsewhere, even if
there is a choice. But restoring the economic diversity and viability
of small-town America is not very high on the Chicago School agenda.
Now back to Klein:
Obama's
love of markets and his desire for "change" are not inherently
incompatible. "The market has gotten out of balance," he says, and it
most certainly has. Many trace this profound imbalance to the ideas of
Milton Friedman, who launched a counter-revolution against the New Deal
from his perch at the University of Chicago. And here there are more
problems, because Obama - who taught law at Chicago for a decade - is
embedded in the mindset known as the Chicago School.
Obama chose as his chief economic adviser Austan Goolsbee, a University
of Chicago economist on the left side of a spectrum that stops at the
centre-right. Goolsbee, unlike his Friedmanite colleagues, sees
inequality as a problem. His primary solution, however, is more
education - a line you can also get from Alan Greenspan. Goolsbee has
been eager to link Obama to the Chicago School. "The guy's got a
healthy respect for markets," he told Chicago magazine. "It's in the
ethos of the [University of Chicago], which is something different from
saying he is laissez faire."
Another of Obama's Chicago fans is the 39-year-old billionaire Kenneth
Griffin, the CEO of the hedge fund Citadel. Griffin, who gave the
maximum allowable donation to Obama, is a poster boy for an unbalanced
economy. He got married at Versailles, and is one of the staunchest
opponents of closing the hedge-fund tax loophole. While Obama talks
about toughening trade rules with China, Griffin has been bending the
few barriers that do exist. Despite sanctions prohibiting the sale of
police equipment, Citadel has been pouring money into controversial
China-based security companies that are putting the local population
under unprecedented levels of surveillance.
Klein then makes a telling connection to 1992 Clinton campaign:
Now
is the time to worry about Obama's Chicago Boys and their commitment to
fending off regulation. It was in the two-and-a-half months between
winning the 1992 election and being sworn into office in 1993 that Bill
Clinton did a U-turn on the economy. He had promised to revise the
North American Free Trade Agreement, adding labour and environmental
provisions - but two weeks before his inauguration, the then Goldman
Sachs chief, Robert Rubin, convinced him of the urgency of embracing
liberalisation.
Furman, a Rubin disciple, was chosen to
head the Brookings Institution's Hamilton Project, the thinktank Rubin
helped found to argue for the free trade agenda. Add to that Goolsbee's
February meeting with Canadian officials, who got the impression that
they should not take Obama's anti-Nafta campaigning seriously, and
there is every reason for concern about a replay of 1993.
Indeed there is. And also a concern about a reply of 1977, when yet
another young, fresh-faced president who had reinvented politics and
transcended the divisions of the past to wipe away corruption,
repression and corrosive militarism, etc. took office: Jimmy Carter. As
with Clinton, it didn't take long for the bloom to come off the
reformist rose. As his own whiz-kid campaign manager put it during the
transistion : ''If, after the inauguration, you find Cy Vance as
secretary of state and Zbigniew Brzezinski as head of national
security, then I would say we failed.'' Needless to say, those two
eminences of the old political elite were duly installed. And Carter's
term ended with massive increases in military spending, a racheting up
of Cold War tensions, and the deliberate escalation of a murderous war
in Afghanistan and the American-aided foundation of a worldwide army of
violent religious extremists.
John Pilger takes a similar dim view
of the Obama bubble. He focuses on two major foreign policy statements
in the last few weeks One — his bellicose declarations at the AIPAC
conference — have been extensively covered. Another, a Miami speech on
Latin America policy, has attracted little attention. In both cases, as
Pilger notes, Obama actually surpasses Bush in his intransigent
declarations:
[At AIPAC], Obama promised to support an
"undivided Jerusalem" as Israel's capital. Not a single government on
earth supports the Israeli annexation of all of Jerusalem, including
the Bush regime, which recognises the UN resolution designating
Jerusalem an international city.
His second statement,
largely ignored, was made in Miami on 23 May. Speaking to the
expatriate Cuban community – which over the years has faithfully
produced terrorists, assassins and drug runners for US administrations
– Obama promised to continue a 47-year crippling embargo on Cuba that
has been declared illegal by the UN year after year.
Again, Obama went further than Bush. He said the United States had
"lost Latin America". He described the democratically elected
governments in Venezuela, Bolivia and Nicaragua as a "vacuum" to be
filled. He raised the nonsense of Iranian influence in Latin America,
and he endorsed Colombia's "right to strike terrorists who seek
safe-havens across its borders". Translated, this means the "right" of
a regime, whose president and leading politicians are linked to death
squads, to invade its neighbours on behalf of Washington. He also
endorsed the so-called Merida Initiative, which Amnesty International
and others have condemned as the US bringing the "Colombian solution"
to Mexico. He did not stop there. "We must press further south as
well," he said. Not even Bush has said that.
Pilger also notes the still-resonant quote of editor Edward Dowling from 1941:
"The
two greatest obstacles to democracy in the United States are, first,
the widespread delusion among the poor that we have a democracy, and
second, the chronic terror among the rich, lest we get it." What has
changed? The terror of the rich is greater than ever, and the poor have
passed on their delusion to those who believe that when George W. Bush
finally steps down next January, his numerous threats to the rest of
humanity will diminish.
These are hard, heartbreaking times. A deepening and entirely justified
despair has spread across the country, and the world, like a toxic
cloud year after year after year. Who would not look for hope whereever
they could find it, who would not respond to even the slightest
possibility for positive change in such a situation? I'm not here to
gleefully and cynically pour cold water on anyone who sees a glimmer of
hope in the candidacy of Barack Obama. I am in no way a purist, or an
idealist, or an ideologue. I don't pronounce anathema on "lesser
evilism": people must act and vote according to their own conscience.
I'm only saying this: know exactly what you are supporting, and what
you will really get for that support. And for God's sake, hold every
politician — every politician — to the most rigorous standards of
skepticism, the most rigorous analysis, the most rigorous examination
of what they say and do — and the genuine implications of their words
and actions.