What's should be more worrisome; who Obama will choose for his VP or who McCain will choose for his Number 2?
No contest. It's who McCain picks. And if I were an Obama advisor I would wake up screaming each night in terror that McCain picks his current economic advisor, Carly Fiorina.
Such a bold move would pose the single most significant threat to Obama's hopes. In fact, it's such a no-brainer that I'd be surprised if McCain/Florina is not already baked into the cake.
Here's why I think so:
1) Millions of Hillary women will still be licking their primary campaign wounds come November. Those hurt feelings will not pass away easily or gracefully. (Dare I use the old -- "Hell hath no fury like women scorned?" Ah, belay that ...) Putting Fiorina on the ticket would help McCain mine a rich vein of feminist anger pervading the Democratic camp.
2) It would be a move Obama would find difficult to counter. Sure he could pick a woman too -- but what woman? It looks increasingly unlikely it would be Hillary ... for a lot of reasons, not the least of which is that Bill refuses to release the financial records necessary to adequately vet the couple.
Obama could pick another woman. But picking a woman as his running mate who is NOT Hillary Clinton would be rubbing salt into a still open wound. All those women out there who worked their hearts out for Hillary would react to Obama picking another woman as the final outrage. Scorn them once, shame on --- well -- someone. But scorn them twice and you're toast.
3) That leaves Obama the second of two hard options -- pick a
man as VP. That might do less harm than choosing "that other woman,"
but would also reinforce what Hillary women feel they've faced their
entire lives -- being elbowed aside at the finish line by boy's club
bullies.
So either way Obama goes, gender-wise, will do little heal the wounds among Hillary's Helga brigades.
4)
McCain, by his own admission, is no financial wizard. Adding Fiorina to
his ticket would blunt that big problem. She's best known as the former
head of Hewlett-Packard where she served as CEO and chairman of the
board. Fiorina was touted as the most powerful woman in business by
Forbes magazine.
Sure she was fired by HP's board in 2005 due
to shareholder dissatisfaction with they company's performance. But in
the Fortune 500 world there's an old saying, "After you move to the
top, the next move is out." Getting canned and walking away with a
double or triple million severance package is a badge of honor in that
world, not a sign of failure. (I think if something like that happened
you, you'd agree that you walked away a winner. I know I would. All I
ever got for being fired was a measly unemployment check.)
So,
adding Fiorina to the ticket would let McCain claim the GOP now had the
strongest team to handle whatever the future threw at the nation, be it
on the national security front or to tackle America's mounting fiscal
crisis.
5) Finally Fiorina would be a huge generational and
gender asset for another reason. While she's not exactly a spring
chicken, she's a quarter century younger than McCain, (but then, who
isn't.)
McCain would be a crusty 80-years old by the end of a
seciond term. It's almost unthinkable an 80-year old could survive an
office that puts that much stress on it's occupant. Voters know that
too, which is why the McCain camp has already dropping hints that he
only wants to be a one-term President.
Putting Fiorina on the
ticket would not only calm fears among many voters that McCain is too
old to be a two-termer. It would also infer to women still fuming over
Hillary's defeat, that there's still a chance for a woman to reach the
Oval Office, if only they wait four years. And that woman would Carly
Fiorina, who would almost certainly face down Hillary Clinton's second
run in a rousing madam y madam slap-down come 2012.
McCain has
already been making cooing noises to Hillary's women. He knows they're
mad as hell and ripe for the picking. Even more important, McCain needs
them -- every one of them he can attract, even if only because they
want to exact vengence on the Obama camp. McCain needs those white
women as a counterbalance to the virtually unanimous African American
vote that will go for Obama. Because, if you think white, middle aged
women feel slighted, imagine how the black community feels about all
that.
McCain has about as much chance of bagging a significant
portion of the African-American vote as George W. Bush would if he were
able to run again. So the millions of seething Hillary gals out there
are McCain's only hope. And, from the emails I get from those very
women, its not a misplaced hope.
So, expect it. I'm not
predicting that picking Fiorina -- or some other clearly qualified
woman -- as his running mate, will turn the tide and sweep McCain to
victory. It will help, but it may not help enough to counter the sense
that McCain is too old, been around too long, is not hitting on all
cylinders and is -- in short the real-world embodiment of the
well-meaning but bumbling cartoon character, Mr. McGoo.
HP's board screwed Fiorina over by firing her in 2005 because they were scared that she would become untouchably successful (like a Steve Jobs, who has a lot of flaws as an executive but Apple can't touch him) after 2005 posted impressive profits. Her ability to convince the board of HP to unanimously vote yes on the Compaq merger at a time when mergers were very unpopular (AOL Time Warner was falling apart at the time) was nothing short of spectacular.
It's a shame because the board was so disfunctional that Carly's successor, Patricia Dunn, resorted to hiring a private investigator to steal the identities of those on the HP board to identify who was leaking confidential information to the press. If only the board was functional, Carly would be known as the wildly successful CEO on HP instead of the controversial ousted CEO she is now.
By the way, I'm hoping McCain selects Fiorina too. She would be phenomenal.
1
June 08, 2008
Write comment
Did you enjoy this article? Please bookmark it onto: