Muddying the waters is the fact that the DJA is much less
reliable as a measure of economic health today than in the past. This
is because today the vast majority of financial transactions now take
place within the furtive secrecy of the equity, hedge, and derivative
markets. No one really knows what is going on, except that on any given
day an announcement is made that another fund or company has been wiped
out.
Neither the Federal Reserve nor the U.S. government believes they have
an obligation to gather or publish data that will help the public gauge
the effects of these crises on their homes or jobs. Some might call
this negligence a crime against democracy. In fact the Federal Reserve
made tracking even more difficult by ceasing to report the M3
macro-currency numbers, but researchers have shown that growth in M3 is
soaring while M1 goes down.
What appears to be happening right now is that the Federal Reserve,
which oversees the U.S. economy on behalf of the financial, corporate,
and government elites, is deliberately trying to squeeze as much debt
out of the economy as it can. It is doing this with interest rates that
are high relative to actual conditions, while trying to avoid the
Armageddon scenario.
The Fed is carrying out its “soft-landing” policy by holding credit
tight while introducing “liquidity” into the markets on a day-by-day
basis through use of overnight “repos” and by cutting the discount rate
for bank borrowing. Conservative columnists like George Will and Bob
Novak watch and shake their pom-poms from the sidelines.
But “liquidity” is just a fancy name for more loans. The one thing we
can be certain of is that every loan bears interest charges which
someday, somehow, will have to be paid by a person who works for a
living.
And if you wondered where the Fed got the $34 billion in liquidity it
pumped into the markets on Friday, August 10, you weren’t the only one.
The answer is that the Fed has a secret room upstairs where it keeps a
large “printing press.” It’s legalized counterfeiting, but as with any
counterfeit money, if people accept it in trade it acts just like the
real stuff—for a while.
The danger, which many commentators are pointing to, is that the Fed
will ignite a hyperinflation, which may be what is happening and may
actually be intentional because it devalues debt. It’s what happens
when debt is used to pay off debt and is in fact an invisible tax. Such
inflation is difficult to discern, again because of the government’s
rigged statistics. The most important indicator to watch is the price
of oil, which doesn’t show up in “core inflation.”
But there are signs that the “soft landing” is working, such as a
modest increase in U.S. exports. Reflecting the weak dollar, China is
now charging more for its own exports, which will stimulate our
industry here at home. And the Fed’s discount rate cut last Friday
sparked a modest stock market rally.
Meanwhile, there is a debate over whether quasi-public agencies like
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should be used to spread the housing market
losses across the entire taxpaying population. While society as a whole
is made poorer, many individuals who might have lost their homes or
jobs are spared some pain. So it’s hard to argue against it. But this
type of bail-out would benefit individual homeowners more than the big
banks, so the conservative politicians and commentators oppose it.
But there’s a bigger picture. The strategy of the Fed is likely to
allow the recession to proceed but it does want to get the economy
moving again before the downturn goes too far. In fact they probably
plan to do it in time for the 2008 presidential election.
The Fed wants to see a recovery in place by then so the American public
will go back to sleep and elect another politician who will steadfastly
protect the privileges and powers of the magnates who, through the Fed,
rule the world. Even if a new president has some progressive ideas, he
or she won’t be able to alter much if a recovery has started.
The “soft landing” is a political power play.
It’s what they did in 1984, when Ronald Reagan was reelected on a
campaign theme of “It’s morning in America,” after the Fed let up
following the twenty percent-plus rates it used to trash the producing
economy from 1979-83. The Fed did the same with the housing bubble to
get George W. Bush reelected in 2004.
The financiers’ worst fear is that if things get too bad the American
people might elect a reformer in 2008. So far the corporate press has
kept two such reformers—Ron Paul and Dennis Kucinich—in the shadows.
Now that Hillary Clinton is starting to sound more progressive, they’ll
attack her overtly since she is too big a player to be ignored. The
Washington Post has already begun.
So we’ll see if the Fed’s plan succeeds as well over the next couple of
years as it has in the past. In the meantime, what remains firmly in
place is the monetarist regime through which the financiers and the Fed
have ruled America for the past thirty-six years, since President
Richard Nixon closed the gold window for international exchange in
1971.
During this period, we have seen several interlocking phenomena:
1) interest rates that on the whole have been much higher than the
previous period of the New Deal and its aftermath, lasting into the
1960s;
2) inflation that has eroded eighty percent of the value of the dollar;
3) replacement of our producing industrial economy with a service economy dominated by high finance;
4) almost continuous warfare with a clear objective of world domination
whose purpose is to shore up the dollar as the world’s reserve
currency;
5) ever-deepening public, private, and household debt;
6) the ever-widening gap between rich and poor, with increasing numbers
of the poor, homeless, and hungry who are left out of the nation’s
economic life;
7) a crisis in the nation’s crumbling infrastructure; and
8) the constant whipsawing of over 200 million ordinary people.
It’s our citizens who are batted around like ping pong balls between
alternating conditions of boom and bust as every few years many of them
watch the overnight disappearance of their homes, pensions, savings,
health insurance, and jobs. Added to this is the stress that has eroded
the health and even life expectancy of the U.S. population.
It’s a horrible picture created by a filthy system. It’s why religious
leaders for thousands of years have characterized usury, and a culture
ruled by usury, as a crime against God and humanity. The monetarist
rule of the Federal Reserve is legal, institutionalized usury. Over the
years they have mastered all the tools of the trade, the objective of
which is to continually allow the financial superstructure to skim the
cream off the producing economy. Come to think of it, isn’t that how
the Mafia used to work with its protection and loan-sharking rackets?
And can anything be done about it? Of course.
In previous articles on the Global Research website and elsewhere, this
writer has offered a list of reforms—mostly monetary—that can and
should be made. They all involve the recognition of credit as a public
utility, part of the societal commons, not the private playground of
the financiers, with the Fed as their facilitator.
Low-cost credit overseen by the federal government was the basic
building block of the New Deal. It was done by strong people with an
ideal of public service, though in many respects they didn’t go far
enough and relied too much on World War II and armaments to attain a
full-employment economy. We now need a New Deal for the 21st century
that would correct the flaws of the last one, resolve the present
crisis, and carry us into a future that will benefit everyone, not just
the privileged few.
Richard C. Cook is a retired federal analyst, whose career included
service with the U.S. Civil Service Commission, the Food and Drug
Administration, the Carter White House, and NASA, followed by
twenty-one years with the U.S. Treasury Department. His articles on
monetary reform, economics, and space policy have appeared on Global
Research, Economy in Crisis, Dissident Voice, Atlantic Free Press, and
elsewhere. He is the author of “Challenger Revealed: An Insider’s
Account of How the Reagan Administration Caused the Greatest Tragedy of
the Space Age.” His website is at www.richardccook.com.