Thanks to mid-term congressional elections in November 2006 — during which Americans delivered a crushing rebuke to the Bush/Cheney regime's handling of its war in Iraq — and thanks to the report of the Iraq Study Group, which was delivered a month later, the cowards in the White House finally admitted that a "new approach" was needed in Iraq.
Taking such advice would have implied that their war was lost, a matter
Bush and Cheney are afraid to admit. So, instead, the cowards
sucker-punched the American electorate, the Iraq Study Group and the
U.S. military by ordering a desperate, last ditch escalation of the
war, which they called a "surge." Thus, more U.S. soldiers and innocent
Iraqis are destined to die for their cowardice.
(Inveterate liar and hypocrite that he is, Bush would subsequently
criticize Democrats for attempting to manage the war from Washington,
while noting how he listens to his commanders.)
Desperately seizing upon another pipe-dream of the neocons, the
Bush/Cheney regime touted the "surge" as a measure which would stamp
down sectarian violence in Baghdad long enough to allow the
food-fighting politicians in Iraq's national government sufficient time
to reconcile their differences on such critical issues as the
distribution of oil revenues, the holding of local elections and the
reversal of the de-Baathification process.
Astute analysts, such as Anthony Cordesman, immediately saw the flaws
in this desperate move: "Winning security control of the city (of
Baghdad) and losing Iraq's 11 other major cities and countryside to
Iraq's sectarian and ethnic factions is not victory (in any strategic
sense), it is defeat." Moreover, U.S. policymakers have "completely
failed to set forth a strategy and meaningful operational plan for
dealing with Iraq as a country even if it succeeds in Baghdad." [Martin
Sieff, "Iraq Surge Strategy Slammed," UPI, Feb. 22, 2007]
As if to demonstrate the accuracy of Cordesman's observation, on July
7, 2007, a suicide truck bomber in the village of Amerli killed at
least 105 people and injured some 200 more, "leading to fears that
insurgents who had fled intense military operations in Baghdad and
Diyala are turning to more vulnerable targets nearby." [
New York Times
July 8, 2007] In fact, the U.S. simply does not have sufficient boots
on the ground to prevent insurgents from exercising classical
insurgency strategy - tactical retreat in the face of massed firepower,
in order to wreak havoc elsewhere.
The violence has surged to such an extent - in spite of Bush's "surge"
- that "prominent Shiite and Sunni politicians [have] called on Iraqi
civilians to take up arms to defend themselves." [Robert H. Reid,
"Iraqi politicians call on civilians to arm themselves,"
The Independent, 9 July 2007] So much, then, for the "surge" as a means of stamping down sectarian violence.
In fact, on June 29, 2007, nine days after concluding, "the US is now
losing in Iraq," Cordesman noted that "the level of sectarian and
ethnic separation now taking place throughout the country, the weakness
of the central government at every level, and the rising power of local
authority…are now clearly changing the 'surge' strategy." [Cordesman,
"Iraq and Anbar: Surge or Separation?"
CSIS Publications, June 29, 2007]
Thus, his conclusion: "Even if security in Baghdad is achieved, it
cannot be a bridge to successful national conciliation by a weak
central government facing massive nation-wide problems in terms of
growing local power and civil conflicts." [Ibid]
But the Bush/Cheney surge faces another equally insurmountable problem
- it relies on a U.S. Army that they've virtually destroyed. As retired
General William E. Odom has recently noted: "No U.S. forces have ever
been compelled to stay in sustained combat conditions for as long as
the Army units have in Iraq." Rather than fix this problem, Bush's
"recent 'surge' tactic has compelled the secretary of defense to extend
Army tours to 15 months!" [Odom, "'Supporting the Troops' Means
Withdrawing Them,"
Nieman Watchdog, 5 July 2007]
Given that U.S. military leaders, in their expert judgment, opposed
Bush's "surge" from the outset, and given that highly regarded defense
analysts found the "surge' to be strategically deficient, why did Bush
go forward with it? Because, as Gen. Odom concluded: "The president is
strongly motivated to string out the war until he leaves office, in
order to avoid taking responsibility for the defeat he has caused and
persisted in making greater each year for more than three years."
If correct about Bush's motive, then General Odom was certainly
correct, when he observed: By "squandering the lives of soldiers and
Marines for his own personal interest" Bush surely has committed an
impeachable "high crime." Were Bush or Cheney genuinely interested in
supporting the troops, they would bring them home.
Fortunately, new pressure to bring the troops home has arisen from the
ranks of Bush's own Republican Party, thanks to the speech given by
Senator Richard Lugar on June 25, 2007. As the Indiana Republican
noted, in a speech from the Senate floor: "Three factors - the
political fragmentation in Iraq, the growing stress on our military,
and the constraints of our own domestic political process - are
converging to make it almost impossible for the United States to
engineer a stable, multi-sectarian government in Iraq in a reasonable
time frame."
As the
New York Times reported on July 9, 2007, thanks, in
part, to Senator Lugar, "White House officials fear that the last
pillars of political support among Senate Republicans for President
Bush's Iraq strategy are collapsing around them." [David E. Sanger, "In
White House, Debate Is Rising On Iraq Pullback,"
New York Times, July 9, 2007] Thus, the White House is debating the pros and cons of a gradual withdrawal.
The Bush administration immediately denied the
Times' report. But, what's worse, neither Gen. Odom's interpretation nor the
Times' report addressed the continuing influence of warmonger Cheney. (As Michael Isikoff of
Newsweek
recently reported, Bush commuted Libby's jail time because, "If he
didn't, he would have caused a fracture with the vice president."
[Isikoff, "Why Bush Gave Scooter Libby a Pass,"
Newsweek, July 16, 2007]
And neither have Gen. Odom nor the
Times taken into
consideration the recent report of columnist, Georgie Anne Geyer, who's
found evidence that Bush "is more convinced than ever of his
righteousness." [Geyer, "A spreading terror,"
Dallas Morning News,
May 31, 2007] According to Geyer: "Friends of his from Texas were
shocked recently to find him wild-eyed, thumping himself on the chest
three times while he repeated 'I am the president!' He also made clear
he was setting Iraq up so his successor could not get out of 'our
country's destiny.'" [Ibid]
Given that U.S, ground forces (and their weapons) have been nearly
exhausted, the only plausible way for Bush to commit his successor to
the war in Iraq would be to "double down" on his first disaster by
attacking Iran's nuclear energy facilities, perhaps with nuclear
weapons. As Robert D. Novak recently reported, Marine General Jack
Sheehan refused to become "czar" of Iraq operations, because he
believed that "hawks within the administration, including Vice
President Cheney, remain more powerful than the pragmatists looking for
an exit strategy in Iraq." [Robert D. Novak, "'Scouting' the Hill on
Iraq,"
Washington Post, July 9, 2007]
In addition, we have Seymour Hersh's expert opinion, recently expressed
to an audience at the Campus Progress National Student Conference, that
"George Bush's and Dick Cheney's wet dream is hitting Iran." Finally,
ask yourself: How did Bush and Cheney respond to rebukes of the
November 2006 elections and the Iraq Study Group report? By escalating
the war in Iraq!
More to the point, such an attack probably would bring Iraq's holocaust
to the entire Middle East, thereby binding Bush's successor to "our
country's destiny." As it is, Turkey already has massed 140,000
soldiers on its border with northern Iraq and al Qaeda in Iraq already
has threatened to wage war against Iran unless it stops supporting the
Shiites in Iraq.
Thus the question: Given the probable defection by key Senate
Republicans, can the feckless (and thus desperate) Democrats that
American voters placed in a legislative majority last November limit or
end America's war in Iraq before Bush and Cheney expand it into Iran?
Don't count on it.
Instead, recall the words of a high level Bush adviser to Ron Suskind:
"We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And
while you're studying that reality - judiciously, as you will - we'll
act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and
that's how things will sort out. We're history's actors . . . and you,
all of you, will be left to just study what we do."
Which is why Americans must insist upon immediate impeachment
proceedings against Vice President Cheney and, then, President Bush.
Simply put: "The World Can't Wait!"
Walter C. Uhler is an independent scholar and freelance writer
whose work has been published in numerous publications, including The
Nation, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the Journal of Military
History, the Moscow Times and the San Francisco Chronicle. He also is
President of the Russian-American International Studies Association
(RAISA).
waltuhler@aol.com