I said income security, not job security. People in this room know the
world of difference between the two, as few others do. As many have
come to realize, real job security is extremely difficult to achieve in
an era where technology has made so many jobs obsolete and where the
rapid pace of change has destroyed the typical career patterns of a
generation ago. Lately I have been reading articles by a man named
Marshall Brain who says that by 2030 robots will take over fifty
percent of the jobs in the U.S. economy, and I agree that the potential
is certainly there.
So a basic human right to income security cannot and should not be
linked with an imperative that everyone be engaged in earning a living
all the time. While more can always be done to foster job creation, it
will never entirely solve the income security problem. Welfare-to-work
is not the answer.
I believe, as I think many of you do here, that the right to income
security must be viewed as an absolute. This right, I believe without
apology, is ultimately based on a spiritual value, that every human
being who comes to life on the planet has a right to a minimally secure
existence, which governments exist to ensure. I believe that income
security is what people must have to express their right to “life,
liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.” Without income security, that
is a hollow phrase.
These values are being threatened in today’s political, economic, and
social environment as never before in U.S. history. Conservatives have
wanted us to believe that eliminating much of the social safety net in
favor of unbridled economic license, sometimes called “market
fundamentalism,” would “lift all boats” and allow individuals to
prosper in ways not possible under the shelter of the welfare state.
This has obviously not happened.
We have more than forty-five million people without health insurance,
thirty-five million without enough to eat, increasing poverty, and a
declining standard of living for all but the most wealthy. After a
period of decline, violent crime is increasing. The housing bubble has
burst, leaving millions of people facing possible loss of their homes.
The federal government, with a current debt approaching $9 trillion and
$44 trillion in unfunded liabilities, has been declared bankrupt by
economists close to the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, our public
infrastructure is crumbling, with a maintenance deficit of over $2
trillion.
After a generation of conservative rule, and in spite of three years of
a balanced budget at the end of the Clinton presidency, public finance
in the United States today is in crisis, if not total collapse. A
quarter century of politics devoted to the dismantling of social
welfare programs, privatization of public assets, huge tax cuts for the
wealthy, continuing export of manufacturing jobs, deregulation of the
financial industry, and gigantic expenditures on the war machine have
eroded the ability of the federal government to do anything meaningful
about income security.
If you set this crippling of government against such facts as the $53.4
million 2006 bonus given to the CEO of Goldman Sachs last December and
the ongoing attempt by the Bush administration to conquer the Middle
East by military force, you get a vivid impression of a society racing
over a cliff.
The article by Paul Krugman, the
New York Times’ economics columnist, in
Rolling Stone magazine
last December entitled “The Great Wealth Transfer,” portrays a society
that has fallen from its status as the world’s greatest industrial
democracy to one that is beginning to resemble a banana republic
oligarchy, with a ruling class that is unbelievably rich and a
population that is sinking toward a state of debt slavery and economic
peonage. The facts are undeniable and well-documented.
So where does the Basic Income Guarantee fit into this gloomy picture?
In the near-term, Congress, having returned to Democratic control, may
raise the minimum wage a dollar or two an hour. The ongoing fall of the
dollar will promote exports and so be a factor in job creation, though
these jobs are low-paying and have few benefits. A Basic Income
Guarantee is not on the horizon.
Yet I don’t believe the situation is hopeless in the long run. We have
some examples to point to that over time could get people’s attention.
One is the Brazilian experiment.
The other ray of hope is that the dire economic situation can act as a
stimulus for progressives to start challenging economic fundamentals.
Here is where I think the Basic Income Guarantee movement could benefit
by looking at what is going on in monetary reform, because any push to
enact a Basic Income Guarantee through income redistribution is likely
to face insurmountable obstacles. We are not going to get middle-class
citizens to give up their mortgage deductions, for example, so the poor
can get a break, when they know that what Lou Dobbs calls “the war on
the middle class” is real and that it threatens their own financial
existence.
Of course there are potential tax sources that could pay for at least a
partial Basic Income Guarantee. Obviously, one would be to roll back
the Bush tax cuts altogether. Another would be to slash defense
spending a couple of hundred billion dollars a year. Another could be
to shut down all offshore tax havens, as suggested by economist Michael
Hudson, the ones that effectively reduce or eliminate taxes paid by
corporations, the wealthy, or organized crime. Another would be a
universal land use tax as advocated by the Henry George movement. Yet
another would be to raise taxes on capital gains and interest income.
If one took the matter seriously, raising a quarter of a trillion
dollars or more annually through restructured taxation to pay for a
modest negative income tax would be no trouble at all. Not only would
it not detract from the economy, it would produce a huge economic boost
by injecting purchasing power at the consumer level where it would be
spent on goods and services rather than inflating more asset bubbles.
But can this be accomplished in today’s political environment? Probably
only if the voters elect a truly progressive president and Congress in
2008.
But we should also examine where the monetary reform movement can enter
into the picture. Monetary reformers challenge the dogma that the only
ways government can acquire money to disburse are through taxes and
borrowing.
The thrust of the monetary reform movement, as least that segment of it
not devoted to the introduction of local currencies, is to shift the
power of influencing the creation of wealth back toward the government.
One way to do this would be to create a federal authority charged with
rebuilding the nation’s physical infrastructure through long-term
low-interest loans. This is what Roosevelt did during the New Deal with
the Reconstruction Finance Corporation. The current LaTourette/Kucinich
bill for a federal infrastructure bank would allow for the insertion of
money for investment at the state and local levels and would also
create new jobs. Such a bank would act as a major economic stimulus.
On the side of money and credit, the Federal Reserve System has long
operated by alternately stimulating and slowing the economy through its
regulation of fractional reserve banking and through actions affecting
interest rates, but never in ways that have proved truly effective.
This is because attempts to use liquidity to manipulate economic growth
are always tied to the creation of credit that must be repaid with
interest.
In my opinion, it would be much more effective for the Federal Reserve
simply to give away money, as it went a long way toward doing with the
slashing of long-term interest rates leading to the housing bubble.
Hundreds of billions of dollars were pumped into the economy, but now
the bill is coming due because of the enormous inflation of housing
prices that have left society as a whole much worse off than when the
bubble began. But the bubble can be viewed as an income program for
homeowners and speculators with a substantial multiplier effect for the
entire economy. According to investment analysts, fifty percent of U.S.
economic growth in 2005 was due to the stimulation of the housing
market.
As I indicated, it would have been simpler if the Federal Reserve, or
the U.S. Treasury, simply gave away money, and what I would like to
suggest is that we begin to think about issuing a Basic Income
Guarantee without charging any cost at all to the federal budget
through what has been called a National Dividend.
This is not a frivolous suggestion. It was proposed by Major C.H.
Douglas and the Social Credit writers of the 1920s and began a
political movement which has continued through today in Great Britain,
Canada, and New Zealand. This would be money creation at its simplest
and most direct, similar to the Greenbacks legislated by Congress
during the Civil War. Then, Congress authorized expenditures in the
amount of $450 million, and the government simply spent the money into
existence.
It was a system that worked remarkably well, one which the bankers have
propagandized against ever since. Greenbacks still made up a third of
the U.S. currency into the early years of the 20th century. Few people
know that FDR also had Greenback authority, though he never used it. It
was money supposedly created out of thin air, a true fiat currency, and
if people tell you that the Greenbacks caused inflation, they are
wrong. What is truly inflationary is debt-based money created by the
Federal Reserve. In fact, since 1965, the dollar has lost over
eighty-five percent of its value.
I would strongly recommend that Basic Income Guarantee proponents study
the Social Credit ideas carefully. This is what first got me interested
in monetary reform back in the late 1970s. What C.H. Douglas was saying
was that in a technologically advanced economy, production is always
ahead of the income available for consumption. He said that there is no
way that the population of a nation can ever earn enough money to
purchase what industry can produce. There is lag time and there are
many inefficiencies in the distribution system. Also, there must be
provision for household and business savings. This was why Keynes
advocated government deficit spending in order to reconstruct the
economy on the demand side.
In other words, in order to consume the production base and keep the nation’s workforce employed, the government
must introduce
purchasing power. Simpler, more direct, and less prone to inflation
would be to issue what Douglas called a National Dividend at the start
of each year to everyone, without means tests, without distinction as
to whether you work or not. It is a Basic Income Guarantee. Remember,
this was suggested in the 1920s. In fact, Douglas had succeeded in
reconciling the capitalist system to principles of economic democracy
in a way that all previous European thinkers had failed to do,
including Marx.
Douglas’s ideas also had a strong ethical underpinning in that they
postulated that the production of wealth was not just a result of the
utilization of private resources or capital but of the brainpower and
labor of the entire nation. People make things in a social context. All
members of society contribute in some small way to the cultural fabric
within which wealth is generated. So all should share in the benefits
of a National Dividend.
Of course Social Credit was opposed by conservatives of every stripe
whose highest value was private property, private ownership of
everything of value, private creation of money through bank loans, and
the exclusive claim to the profits from private enterprise.
Keynesianism did not last. It was succeeded by the attempt by the
Federal Reserve to manipulate the economy through targeting of the
money supply, a practice known as monetarism, one which has failed
miserably, the latest fiasco being the aforementioned housing bubble.
Reagan-era supply-side tax cuts, along with those of George W. Bush,
were an attempt to compensate for the failure of monetarism to boost
demand, but the problem again was that there has not been sufficient
purchasing power except through increased household debt, a fact every
economist recognizes.
So I would conclude this brief presentation by suggesting to the Basic
Income Guarantee community to look seriously at monetary reform,
especially the Social Credit ideas, for a theoretical underpinning of
Basic Income Guarantee proposals that I believe can work in tandem with
meaningful tax reform. Again I mention the writer Marshall Brain, who
advocates an annual stipend for every citizen as their share of
societal wealth. A figure of $10,000 per year would likely be adequate.
Such a stipend can be issued to individuals as a credit or voucher
against future production. It would be a simple, effective way to
introduce liquidity into the economy, far better than the debt-based
system of fractional reserve banking that leads to profits for the
banks at the expense of everyone else.
At the same time, it is important to keep the pressure on Congress and
the political system to think about a Basic Income Guarantee when they
think about income and tax policy. Any progress in this direction is
worthwhile. It is also critical to work toward making a Basic Income
Guarantee part of the progressive political agenda. See, for example,
an article in
The Progressive a
few months ago by editor Matthew Rothschild entitled, “Our Sinful
Economy.” It is essential to have workable proposals ready as our
economy continues to stumble into the crises that are inevitable given
the huge problems that exist with income maldistribution, the
continuing decline of the social safety net, rising crime statistics,
and the collapse of the ability of the federal government to meet the
needs of the nation through the budget process.
It can be pointed out to progressives that the monetary reform movement
can show that a Basic Income Guarantee is not only ethically and
spiritually the correct attitude of society but that it is also an
economic necessity. Two books on the subject which I strongly recommend
are
The Lost Science of Money by Stephen Zarlenga, head of the American Monetary Institute, and
The Grip of Death, a Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery, and Destructive Economics by the British author Michael Rowbothan.
Books such as these can provide help for the badly needed progressive
consensus of what coherent alternative we can offer to the disastrous
state of the nation and the world today. We are clearly witnessing a
worldwide class war, where, as U.S. billionaire Warren Buffet has said,
"There’s class warfare, all right, but it’s my class, the rich class,
that’s making war, and we’re winning." I believe that a Basic Income
Guarantee, combined with monetary reform, shows this war to be totally
unnecessary.
One final note. You might reasonably ask why haven’t such monetary
reform concepts as Social Credit and the National Dividend been adopted
or even seriously studied by mainstream economics? The answer is
obviously political. Mainstream economics is dominated by concepts
favorable to control by the private financial industry. The last thing
the bankers want is money in the hands of the rank-and-file of society
that is not tied in some way to a monetary debt. That this can be done
easily and simply is the best-kept secret in economics history. But
there are economists who support these ideas. In fact, during the
Depression, a majority of U.S. economists supported something called
the Chicago Plan that would have revolutionized banking and finance in
this country. Monetary ideas that may seem revolutionary and that would
be characterized as such by the financial establishment, to real
monetary reformers look simple, logical, and fair.
And there have been times in American history when people were bolder
and understood much better the consequences of our being what President
Martin Van Buren called a “bank-ridden society.” Jefferson saw control
of the economy by banks as the death-knell of freedom. In an 1802
letter to Secretary of the Treasury Albert Gallatin he said:
I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties
than standing armies. If the American people ever allow private banks
to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by
deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around [the
banks] will deprive the people of all property until their children
wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing
power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to
whom it properly belongs.
Then during the last third of the 19th century we had the Populist and
Greenback parties which focused on monetary issues. There was William
Jennings Bryan’s “Cross of Gold” speech when he ran for president in
1896. But with the passage of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 the door
of monetary progressive politics was slammed shut and has remained
tightly fastened for almost a century. Progressives everywhere should
be prying that door open again if not resolutely kicking it down.
Thank you for the opportunity to meet with you at this important forum, and I look forward to many future encounters.
Richard C. Cook is the author of Challenger Revealed: How the Reagan Administration Caused the Greatest Tragedy of the Space Age (Thunder’s Mouth Press). He is currently writing a book on economic and monetary reform. His website is www.richardccook.com.